ENERGY
WTI Crude▲+4.4% 65.080
Natural Gas▲+0.0% 3.031BUY_13
RBOB Gasoline▲+15.2% 2.206OB
Heating Oil▲+1.8% 2.433
Brent Crude▲+4.3% 70.350
METALS
Gold▲+2.4% 5,002.3
Silver▲+5.4% 77.400
Copper▲+2.6% 5.781
Platinum▲+3.7% 2,087.20
Palladium▲+3.6% 1,735.00
INDICES & FX
S&P 500▲+0.5% 6,898.0SELL_13
Nasdaq▲+0.8% 24,976.0SELL_13
Dow Jones▲+0.2% 49,731.0SELL_13
VIX▼-3.3% 19.620BUY_13
Dollar Index▲+0.2% 97.060
EUR/USD▼-0.5% 1.180
JPY/USD▼-1.0% 0.006500
GRAINS & SOFTS
Corn▲+0.1% 426.50
Soybeans▲+1.2% 1,147.75OBSELL_SET
Wheat▲+3.0% 554.00
Rice▼-99.0% 10.625OS
Oats▲+1.4% 316.75
Cotton▲+3.7% 63.810
Coffee▲+0.2% 285.20OS
Sugar▼-0.6% 13.770BUY_13
Cocoa▼-1.5% 3,332.0OSBUY_SETU
MOVES THAT MATTER
▼
Rice -99.0% — Large move. RSI 2.
▼
Rice RSI 2 — Oversold territory. Reversal setup building.
▼
Cocoa RSI 14 — Oversold territory. Reversal setup building.
▲
Soybeans RSI 83 — Overbought. Extended move, watch for mean reversion.
▲
RBOB Gasoline RSI 80 — Overbought. Extended move, watch for mean reversion.
THE WIRE
01:52KOSDAQ sees a 6% surge in 150 futures, prompting Korea Exchange to activate sidecar and suspend prog 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:52Blue Owl permanently halts redemptions at fund aimed at retail investors-ft 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:50RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk notes that next year’s monthly CPI releases will complement other data 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:50RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk notes that even with a minor hike, rates would reach just the lower bou 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:50RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk notes that maintaining the OCR where it is supports the closure of the 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:49According to RBNZ’s Silk, maintaining accommodative policy for a while aligns with current economic 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:49According to RBNZ’s Silk, weak consumer spending is the main downside risk, and persistent inflation 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:49According to RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk, the easing cycle is likely over, though risks remain on e 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:45RT @Globalsurv: BREAKING; CHINA Assisting IRAN with Intel, surveillance and real time tracking Throu 𝕏 @OPECnews
01:43Vietnam Airlines engages Boeing in discussions for 30 wide-body aircraft. 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:41Vietnam Airlines signs deal to acquire 50 Boeing 737-8 jets. 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
01:40Mark Zuckerberg said he reached out to Apple CEO Tim Cook to discuss 'wellbeing of teens and ki CNBC
01:00After Years of Buybacks, Big Oil is Drilling Again OilPrice
00:52Australia Unemployment Stays Low, Backing Hawkish RBA Stance – BBG
https://t.co/iYcrhX5jej 𝕏 @LiveSquawk
00:48RT @Mark4XX: SILVER'S RALLY IS NO BUBBLE: THE DATA PROVES IT
Mainstream media calls the massiv 𝕏 @TFMetals
00:35RT @WSJmarkets: Asian Currencies Consolidate; Fading Fed Rate-Cut Prospects Could Weigh https://t.co 𝕏 @LiveSquawk
00:33RT @WhiteHouse: “THE UNITED STATES TRADE DEFICIT HAS BEEN REDUCED BY 78%” - President Donald J. Trum 𝕏 @LiveSquawk
MACRO & CENTRAL BANKS
📹 VIDEOS
47:53 Partial Government Shutdown Drags On As Talks Stall | Balance of Power: Late Edi
Bloomberg Television
COMMODITIES & ENERGY
RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk notes that next year’s monthly CPI releases will complem 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk notes that even with a minor hike, rates would reach jus 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
According to RBNZ’s Silk, maintaining accommodative policy for a while aligns with cu 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
According to RBNZ’s Silk, weak consumer spending is the main downside risk, and persi 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
According to RBNZ Assistant Governor Silk, the easing cycle is likely over, though ri 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
Vietnam Airlines signs deal to acquire 50 Boeing 737-8 jets. 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
📹 VIDEOS
1:11:29 LIVE: Retail All In, Hedge Funds Max Short
Heresy Financial
RATES & CREDIT
GEOPOLITICS & POLICY
TRUMP: US TRADE GAP WILL BE POSITIVE THIS YEAR 𝕏 @DeItaone
TOP U.S. COMMANDER FOR LATIN AMERICA MADE AN UNANNOUNCED VISIT TO VENEZUELA FOR MEETI 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
MINISTER LEBLANC: SAYS CANADA HAS NOT DISCUSSED ANY CONTINGENCY PLAN WITH MEXICO IF T 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
CANADIAN MINISTER LEBLANC: REASSURED BY MEXICO’S ECONOMY SECRETARY’S WILLINGNESS TO W 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
WHITE HOUSE: TRUMP SIGNS ORDER TO PROMOTE NATIONAL DEFENSE BY ENSURING ADEQUATE SUPPL 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND WARNS OF “ADVERSE SPILLOVERS” FROM CHINA’S EXPORT RELIANC 𝕏 @FirstSquawk
📹 VIDEOS
FROM TRADERSTAN
📝 Morning Brief — Coming Soon 📊 One Chart — Coming Soon 📋 State of the Tape — Coming SoonMETALS
| Contract | Last | Change | RSI(14) | MACD Hist | DeMark | Elliott |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold GC | 5,002.3 | ▲ +119.40 (+2.44%) | 53.9 | -21.2800 | NONE | 🟢 WAVE_5 |
| Silver SI | 77.400 | ▲ +3.95 (+5.38%) | 43.9 | -2.2240 | NONE | 🔴 WAVE_3 |
| Copper HG | 5.781 | ▲ +0.15 (+2.63%) | 46.9 | -0.0365 | NONE | 🔴 WAVE_3 |
| Platinum PL | 2,087.20 | ▲ +74.70 (+3.71%) | 44.2 | -35.3892 | NONE | 🔴 WAVE_4 |
| Palladium PA | 1,735.00 | ▲ +59.80 (+3.57%) | 49.1 | -16.1508 | NONE | 🔴 WAVE_3 |
SOFTS
| Contract | Last | Change | RSI(14) | MACD Hist | DeMark | Elliott |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cotton CT | 63.810 | ▲ +2.29 (+3.72%) | 66.4 | +0.0827 | NONE | 🔴 WAVE_3 |
| Coffee KC | 285.20 | ▲ +0.60 (+0.21%) | 20.9 OVERSOLD | -2.3589 | NONE | 🔴 WAVE_5 |
| Sugar SB | 13.770 | ▼ -0.09 (-0.65%) | 31.7 | -0.0600 | BUY_13 | 🔴 WAVE_5 |
| Cocoa CC | 3,332.0 | ▼ -52.00 (-1.54%) | 13.5 OVERSOLD | -36.7121 | BUY_SETUP_8 | 🔴 WAVE_3 |
PREDICTION MARKETS
22% US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1% Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2
0% US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
5% US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
0% Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
0% Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2
4% Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1% Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12% Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
52% US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
3% Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1% Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nominati
Source: Polymarket
Fed Funds Rate: 3.64 · 2Y Treasury: 3.43 · 10Y Treasury: 4.05 · Trade-Weighted Dollar: 117.53 · 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.62 · HY OAS Spread: 2.94 · VIX (FRED): 20.29




