THE CLOSE — February 18, 2026
WHAT MATTERED
• ZR ▼-99.0% (RSI 2)
• RB ▲+15.4% (RSI 80)
• Silver ▲+4.9%
• Brent ▲+4.6%
• WTI Crude ▲+4.6%
• CT ▲+3.7%
HEADLINES THAT MOVED MARKETS
• Mark Zuckerberg said he reached out to Apple CEO Tim Cook to discuss 'wellbeing of teens and kids' [CNBC]
• CNBC Daily Open: Traders are betting for a rate cut — but a hike could be on the table [CNBC]
• After Years of Buybacks, Big Oil is Drilling Again [OilPrice]
• Yen Drops Amid Broad Dollar Rally as Fed Confirms Rate Check - Bloomberg [Bloomberg]
• South Korea's Kospi jumps to record high as regional rally tracks Wall Street gains [CNBC]
SETTING UP FOR TOMORROW
• Natural Gas: BUY_13 — exhaustion signal, watch for reversal
• RB: RSI 80 — extreme overbought
• Soybeans: SELL_SETUP_9 — setup complete, countdown may begin
• Soybeans: RSI 84 — extreme overbought
• ZR: RSI 2 — extreme oversold
Generated by TraderStan · 21:04 CST · Data delayed 15-20 min
ONE CHART — February 18, 2026
RBOB Gasoline (RB)
**Close:** 2.21 (+15.4%)
Key Observations
• RSI 80 — extreme overbought
• Massive +15.4% move
• Session range: 2.20-2.21
• EMA 9 (1.98) above EMA 21 (1.93) — short-term bullish structure
• Trading above EMA 50 (1.88) — medium-term trend intact
Score: 45 (out of ~75)
Ranked #1 of 26 contracts with active signals today.
Generated by TraderStan · 21:04 CST
THE OPEN — February 18, 2026
OVERNIGHT
• WTI Crude 65.200 (+4.6%)
• Natural Gas 3.061 (+1.0%)
• Gold 4,988.50 (+2.2%)
• Silver 77.015 (+4.9%)
• S&P 500 6,897.50 (+0.5%)
• Nasdaq 24,974.25 (+0.8%)
• Dollar Index 97.621 (+0.6%)
KEY HEADLINES
• Mark Zuckerberg said he reached out to Apple CEO Tim Cook to discuss 'wellbeing of teens and kids' [CNBC]
• CNBC Daily Open: Traders are betting for a rate cut — but a hike could be on the table [CNBC]
• After Years of Buybacks, Big Oil is Drilling Again [OilPrice]
• Yen Drops Amid Broad Dollar Rally as Fed Confirms Rate Check - Bloomberg [Bloomberg]
• South Korea's Kospi jumps to record high as regional rally tracks Wall Street gains [CNBC]
SETUPS THAT MATTER
1. ZR (ZR) — 10.765. RSI 2 — oversold. -99.0% move. Polymarket: US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? at 28%. Range: 10.635-10.790.
2. RBOB (RB) — 2.209. RSI 80 — overbought. +15.4% move. Polymarket: US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? at 28%. Range: 2.201-2.212.
3. Soybeans (ZS) — 1,149.00. DeMark: SELL_SETUP_9. RSI 84 — overbought. Polymarket: US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? at 28%. Range: 1,144.75-1,149.75.
4. CC (CC) — 3,332.00. DeMark: BUY_SETUP_8. RSI 14 — oversold. Polymarket: US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? at 28%. Range: 3,189.00-3,461.00.
5. VX (VX) — 19.620. DeMark: BUY_13. -3.3% move. Polymarket: US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? at 28%. Range: 18.480-20.340.
MACRO CONTEXT
Fed Funds Rate: 3.64 · 2Y Treasury: 3.43 · 10Y Treasury: 4.05 · Trade-Weighted Dollar: 117.53 · 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.62 · HY OAS Spread: 2.94 · VIX (FRED): 20.29
PREDICTION MARKETS
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? — 28%
• US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? — 0%
• US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? — 6%
• Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? — 0%
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the Ma — 1%
Generated by TraderStan · 21:04 CST · Data delayed 15-20 min